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Sirius and XMSR – Shit Squared is BACK!

So the rumor is that these two (Sirius and XMSR) are merging and will announce tomorrow. They do the same thing with airlines – slam two shit companies together for the shit squared effect. Some people will make money, but not likely YOU.

Unless you are the CEO’s, Bankers, Lawyers, Oprah or Howard Stern…who cares. Maybe Howard has a loophole and can sneak out and spearhead streaming internet to cars.

They say it will save $7 billion. I say only to spend it in a bad way elsewhere.

These are dinosaurs and for the pure speculators. If the regulators are to do anything, they should force both companies to liquidate and give back something to shareholders before it is too late.

  • http://foneshow.blogspot.com Erik

    They’re merging because they’re scared of Foneshow. We move them to the top of the competitors list in the slide deck, and less than a month later they’re consolidating to fight us.

    Ha.

  • http://www.custercapital.com TheBillfold

    Ha ha – couldn’t agree with you more Howard. From day one, I never thought paying for radio was a good idea.

  • Adam

    Howard, you are incorrect. This is as big an investment opportunity that HBO was in 1974.

  • http://www.anonymous.com jeremy

    can this really get approved? there are regulations stating they can be the only two satellite companies for a few more years…

  • http://foroobar.wordpress.com Dead 3.0

    Howard, I’m going to have to disagree. It’s a fixed cost play. Satellite radio is growing faster than any consumer tech ever has. OEMs have long-term agreements for over 50% of new vehicles by 2010. I’m not a CEO, I’m in at the ground level. And I like what I see. More on my blog with specific numbers.

  • http://www.howardlindzon.com howard lindzon

    Dead – good luck

    their variable cost of talenty and looseness in spending and their inability to keep subscribers past the free zone, make the risk silly for the returnas.

    dinosaur

  • http://billakanodoodahs.com Bill aka NO DooDahs!

    Merger means only one fucked-up, crappy company goes bankrupt – instead of two.

  • http://www.andyswan.com Andy Swan

    I’m an XM subscriber. I like it. I think they are shitty investments on their own, and potentially decent investments combined. I think their shittiness came from competing with each other in ridiculous ways. As a monopoly, one assumes they will be a little slower to write half-billion dollar checks to has-beens and will be able to raise their prices to profitability.

    I’d pay more, I like the product. Overall I’m with you though…why invest in something “potentially decent”???

  • Howard Lindzon

    You nailed it here andy. In the end, this deal gets done and they wont save 7 billion, likely half that as they are media execs after all :)

    They will save a fortune not bidding for talent as you say and probably could raise as much as they want in a death spiral convert. there is nothing sexy here though.

  • http://foroobar.wordpress.com Dead 3.0

    Howard, I agree they’ve been relatively loose with their content costs. But the merger will lower variable content costs by increasing the combined company’s buyer power. You mention “their inability to keep subscribers past the free zone” but that is patently false. Looking at XM’s 10-K from 2005, we see that their conversion rate was 57%. In 2004 (when their rates were 30% lower) the conversion rate was 59%. I’m finding it hard to rectify your claims with the numbers being reported.

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