Momentum Monday - I Blockade You!!

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Good morning…

We have ourselves a blockade!

I do not have a blockade playbook, but oil is up and JD Vance is 0 for 2 the last week. He probably had no chance working an Iran deal and in Hungary his boy was a loser.

Ivanhoff and I toured the markets as always and there continues to be incredible momentum and resilience in semiconductors, space, select biotech and small cap technology stocks.

I think the most incredible development has been the ability of the market to absorb almost a complete trillion dollar plus wipeout of software stocks.

We share a few fresh ideas as well…

Welcome back to Momentum Monday!

In today’s episode of Momentum Monday, Ivanhoff and I discuss the following:  

  • Market Resilience and AI Infrastructure

  • Semiconductor Evolution and Memory Boom

  • Software Sector Divergence

  • Shifting Fintech and Brokerage Leaders

  • Biotech and Satellite Growth

  • Redefining the Technology Watch List

In This Episode, We Cover:

  • Market Resilience and AI Infrastructure (0:00)

  • Semiconductor Evolution and Memory Boom (1:42)

  • Software Sector Divergence (6:23)

  • Shifting Fintech and Brokerage Leaders (9:54)

  • Biotech and Satellite Growth (12:53)

  • Redefining the Technology Watch List (14:25)

Here are Ivanhoff’s thoughts:

Year-to-date, crude oil is up 70%, the small-cap index Russell 2k is up 6%, and the S&P 500 is flat. The semiconductors ETF, SMH, is up 23% and sitting at new all-time highs, while the software ETF, IGV, is down almost 30% and at multi-year lows. A true market of stocks environment. 

There’s a two-week ceasefire in the Middle East. The moment it became clear, most AI-infrastructure stocks had a quick V-shaped recovery. Some of them were rising even ahead of the peace talk negotiations announcement. Now, we are at a point when many are extended for fresh swing entries – MRVL, GLW, NBIS, TER, AVGO, AMD, AEHR, AAOI, HUT, AXTI, TTMI, INTC, BE, LRCX, SNDK, etc. This velocity of the rally means two things: one, it caught many unprepared and underinvested; and two, the next pullback will very likely be bought aggressively. 

In the meantime, crude oil remains a wild card. There’s a reason I called the real Vix of 2026. If peace negotiations fall apart and crude oil resumes its ascent, everything that rallied in the past week and a half will come right back.

And here are the charts discussed:

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